October 26, 2016 · Chad Anderson
Ten-year Forecast Spotlights North America’s Continued Strength and Highlights Ongoing Challenges Facing Emerging Markets
Written by Chad Anderson, Jetcraft President
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The continued unpredictability of the business aviation sector and the impact of certain world events throughout the past 12 months have directly impacted our long-term growth outlook for the business aviation sector. Accordingly, we adjusted our predictions of deliveries and revenues in our recently released 2016 Market Forecast from last year’s projections resulting in numbers that now point to 7,879 unit deliveries worth $248 billion, from 8,755 worth $271 billion in 2015.
To get a clearer view on what is contributing to these deliverables and revenues projections, we took a closer look at macro-economic issues that will impact the state of our industry over the next ten years. Specifically, our 2016 forecast compares how the private jet aviation sector’s business will fare against certain economic trends– a slowdown in wealth creation, the migration of ultra-high net worth individuals (UHNWIs) from emerging market economies and the fluctuation of oil prices – as well as how our industry’s growth compares with past business cycles.